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2020年11月26日 星期四

Who is going to laugh till the end?

 He said it at last.

In yesterday Trump responded to the reporter during the Thanksgiving appearance in the White House that if the Electors choose Biden to be the next President of the U.S.A. in their voting on the 14th in next month then he will leave the White House.

The Biden camp burst into euphoria when vote counting revealed that Biden's ballot outnumbered that of Trump's. The media even claimed that Biden has won the election few days after the voting ended. Biden was a bit reserved on the outcome and did not declare victory only till the 8th when the vote count in Pennsylvania and Georgia showed that they are in Biden's favour. 

On the other hand, Trump insists that the election was rigged and has never conceded failure even now. He has been saying to fight for the justice via legal action. Trump said it in the Tweeter many times. 

Despite earlier quite a few nations like the France, the U.K., Canada, China, German, Saudi, Australia...etc have congratulated Biden becoming the president-elected yet the transition between the two administrations has not started only after the General Services Administration(GSA) confirmed it under the letter to Biden three days ago.

After Biden's declaration and the endorsement of GSA, the world, or at least most of it, thought that the president-elected is by right becoming the next president. Or is it?

Why so asked?

Because Trump said he would fight via legal action? Nope. Despite Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania have rejected the cases but that is not the key point. In fact, It is only Trump's tactic in dealing with the public. Legal action is merely a cover up for the true action behind the scene. He knows something that you guys don't, or be misled with. Being the president as well as the player of this election game, he knows what matters and what don't. And he revealed to you guys in yesterday. He is waiting for the voting of the Electoral College.

In fact in my earlier post Does it really matter?  I already mentioned it. The general public, at least many American, thinks that the election happened on the Nov 3 decided who the next president would be and they think their votes made that happened. They are damn wrong though. Americans are misled by a deliberate illusion. Their voting is just a beautiful misleading to make them believe that they enjoy the democracy to choose their president. There are in fact other king-makers behind the curtain. 

Trump knows it all. He does not care about American's votes. Nor does he care about the GSA's decision. These are not the determinant. I say it again. He is waiting for the voting of the Electoral College. They are the true king-makers.

The design of the election system is that when the Electors judge that the popular vote does not reflect the best interest to the country, upon their conscience they can cast their vote otherwise. Now the trick is that Trump said the election was rigged. He claimed there were many frauds in the mailing ballots. The accusation leaves much room for the Electors to exercise their conscience. 

In my another post Politics is cruel?  I said politics is all about parceling out interests. There is nothing more political than is the presidential election especially that for the U.S. President. One must be super naive if s/he really thinks that the Electors will cast their votes solely upon their conscience when facing such a big controversy. S/he must also be ultra stupid to think there is no solicitation upon these electors now. Needless to say, there must be enormous bargaining happening right now behind the curtain till the December 14. People should not forget that there were five popular vote winners did not win the presidency along the American history. In fact Trump himself was exactly the beneficiary of such system which he actually lost the popular vote in 2016 but won the electoral vote. So he knows most what matters.

Who is going to laugh till the end? As what Trump always said, we'll wait and see.


2020年10月29日 星期四

Does it really matter?

As October is drawing to its end the whole world is looking forward to seeing the biggest event that is going to happen in this early November. Yes, you got it right, the U.S. presidential election. It is important not only to the U.S. and the Americans but to most parts of the world as well because with Trump has stirred the world as well as the U.S. itself upside down in the past four years so people just wonder whether this guy is going to win another term of four years and keeps stirring the world, especially amid the pandemic.

The polling is going to end on November 3 local time so most people think it is the decisive day on the presidency. However, those who know know that November 3 is only last day of the polling by the Americans but actually they do not have the right to vote for their president. It is only the electors in the Electoral College have this right. They are the ones who are really going to decide who is going to be the president of the U.S. and their voting happen on December 14 only so it is more than one good month later than November 3. 

Customary and usually the Electors should align their vote with the popular vote, ie., the wish of the general Americans in their states to cast their own vote but it is not strictly legal bidding. That is to say, the vote from the general Americans does not necessarily reflect the result of the election even if a candidate has won a majority of ballots on November 3. The result on December 14 after the electoral college voting is after all the real one. The fact is that electors' vote could be contrary to the popular vote in their states. So folks, just forget the date of November 3 which is just a show of democracy only.

Despite the U.S. is the largest democracy country in the world but judging from its indirect election system, the so-called one person, one vote, is actually a counterfeit. The establishment of the electoral college was actually a big scam to the general Americans and it was done in purpose by the founders of the then newly formed nation. Everybody know that the U.S. was once the colony of the British Empire prior to its independence. After fighting eight years with their original sovereign nation, the colonists finally won the war to form a new born nation. Most of the founders who were responsible for drafting the constitution were lawyers. 

Contrary to most of their fellow who were farmers and laborers that were mostly illiterate, these lawyers were well educated and astute. They engineered the constitution which is in favour to these elites by designing the indirect election system via the establishment of electoral college. The system prevents the general mass, due to their numbers, from electing an inappropriate president under the simple one person, one vote, election system especially when the overall education level of the general mass was still very low thus prone to stupid and emotional decision.

The original intention of the electoral college might sound reasonable under the particular context at that time. However, this system remains unchanged even after two centuries and the general mass of Americans have already received education and most of them are sensible enough to pick their president. Yet, their right is still deprived despite of the name of leader of the democracy world. What an irony!

In fact, it is not only the problem of the crippled election system but the faulty institution to be blamed. Under the current political context in the U.S. that with the oligopoly of the Republic Party and Democratic Party so the Americans are only subjected to a choice of lesser evil when choosing their president. After all, the president of the U.S.A. is only a front stage figurehead of the political party which he represents. The point is that both of these two parties are for the interests of their respective vested interests groups only. None of them is really the guardian of the general mass of the Americans. So does the election really matter to you, Americans?


2019年9月26日 星期四

Who knows?

People may wonder if Hong Kong is at the brink of what is similar to China's Cultural Revolution when in last week battery happened between opposing  groups with different political opinion. This was quite alike the chaos happened 50 years ago in China where Red Guards fought furiously with each other both claimed they were guarding Mao's thoughts. That was the most insane social movement ever in China's modern history. That was also China's dark age arising from the internal power struggle within the CCP on the party leadership. At that time, sons against fathers, wives against husbands, brothers against sisters, students against teachers, tens of thousands families torn apart because of different stances. All blames to the sinister Mao ZeDong whom utilized the movement to safeguard his leadership and the evil CCP's keen-to-power-struggle nature.

When people look around what is happening here in Hong Kong now they found similar signs of such violence among the public. Apart from the battery in last week, the first incident was the "terror attack" by the men-in-white to the men-in-black back in July. The latest addition is the assault on the democratic lawmaker, Roy Kwong, and the attack on the female reporter who works for Apple Daily, an explicit opposition media, in two days ago. Many believe the July terror attack was a premeditated crime against the opposition protestors while the battery in last week was suspected to be a counter-attack by the radical protestors on the two seemingly pro-government men as both cases happened in Yuen Long. The tendency of violent confrontation among civilian seems growing, on top of that between radical protestors and police.

While those believe the radical protestors are under the support or even the direction of foreign influences, they might have overlooked another possibility. For people who know the development history of the CCP know that the Party actually grew alongside with continuous internal power struggle from its founding stage and even still in its hardship on the civil war with the GMT army for seizing the ruling on the nation. In fact internal struggle has never stopped throughout the 70 years after the founding of Communist China. Throughout the years some internal struggles were about the direction of the state development. However, even more struggles were for power, ie., leadership on the Party especially those happened in the latest couple of decades. As and after China joined the WTO and her economy enjoyed a sharp growth, grasping on the say means controlling the most lucrative sectors of the economy. Every candidate were eyeing on the posts of the Party's general secretary, the president and the chairman of central military commission. Anyone who can grasp all the three posts becomes the modern emperor in China. The current emperor has a nick name of Winnie the Pooh.

While Winnie is sitting at the highest throne but he is not lack of jealous eyes whom are so eagerly to take every opportunity to pull his leg or even take him down for the sake to replace him. When China's propaganda is blaming the U.S. capitalizing on the Hong Kong card on hindering China's rising, Winnie's every move and strategy on dealing this problem is under his rival's scrutiny. Despite Winnie seems to be in full control in his throne but his rivalry will take no mercy should he make a wrong move that not only fails to resolve the problem but also brings damage to the state. This could just give the rivalry a good excuse to force Winnie on the abdication. A possible way is to stir up a greater mess in Hong Kong to replicate another massacre.

Perhaps there are someone else who are in greater desire that Hong Kong to be even more chaotic than does Trump. Who knows?